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Blog - GAMBLING

Photo courtesy of Adam Coglinese

When a horse wins at 25-1 odds, there’s a natural tendency to dismiss it as a fluke. It was merely a day when events fell into place in a manner that’s rarely repeated.

After all, how often does lightning strike twice?

Not often.

But it does indeed happen, as shown by the 7th race on April 13 at Aqueduct.

Call for the Clock’s career started inauspiciously enough on Nov. 11 of last year with a seventh-place finish in a sprint, losing by 16 lengths.

In his next two races, when stretched out to two turns, he showed some improvement in finishing fifth and fourth, each time posting a faster speed figure.

Then on Feb. 16, the bolt of lightning struck. Everything came together as Call for the Clock posted a length victory at 25-1 odds.

A fluke?

Perhaps, except that in his next start Call for the Clock ran a creditable third in his first try against winners. Besides that, Call for the Clock once again posted a faster speed figure, keeping alive his streak of improving in each of his starts.

A month later, Call for the Clock was entered in the 7th race at Aqueduct on April 13. Facing the same allowance company as he did in his previous race, Call for the Clock seemed nicely spotted – if he could continue to improve.

The betting public didn’t buy in, sending Call for the Clock off at 24-1 odds.

But for those who decided to tag along in hope that Call for the Clock still had some upside left, there was a rather nice reward: a $50.50  payoff when Call for the Clock rallied in the final furlong and won by a head.

THE LESSON: Flukes do indeed happen at the racetrack. Yet sometimes an improbable finish can be a sign of improving form that can hold the key to a rather large dividend.

Callfor Clock PPs

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Punto de apuesta de la semana: No fue un golpe de suerte

En Español 

Translated by Anthony Gutierrez

Cuando un caballo gana 25-1 en probalidades, hay una tendencia natural a descartarla como una casualidad. No era más que un día en que los acotecimientos cayeron en su lugar de una manera qué rara vez se repite.
Después de todo, ¿Con qué frecuencia huelga luz dos veces?
No menudo.

Pero lo hace de hecho sucede, como lo demuestra la séptima carrera el 13 de Abril en Aqueduct. La carrera de Call For The Clock comenzó desfavorablemente suficente el 11 de noviembre del año pasado en un séptimo puesto final en una carrera de sprint, perdiendo por 16 cuerpos.

En las próximas carrera, cuando se extendió a dos vueltas, mostró una cierta mejora en el acabando quinto y cuerto, cada vez sacando una cifra mayor de velocidad. Luego, el 16 de Febrero, el rayo de luz golpeó. Todo se juntó como Call For The Clock registró una victoria por un cuerpo a 25-1 probabilidades.
Un golpe de suerte?

Tal vez, sólo que en su próxima salida Call For The Clock corría un meritorio tercer puesto en su primer intento en contra de los ganadores. Además de eso, Call For The Clock registró de nuevo una cifra mayor en velocidad, manteniendo viva su racha de mojorar cada una de sus aperturas.

Un mes más tarde, Call For The Clock fue inscrito en la séptima carrera en Aqueduct el 13 de Abril. Frentando a la misma compañia de allowance como lo hizo en su anterior carrera, Call For The Clock parecia muy bien visto-si podía seguir mejorando.

El público apostador no creó en el, dejando a Call For The Clock a 24-1 en probabilidades. Pero para aquellos que deciderion acompañarlo en la esperanza de que Call For The Clock todavía tenia algún revés izquerdo, había un lugar agradable recompensa: a $50.50 cuando Call For The Clock se recuperó en el estado final y ganó por una cabeza.

La Lección: trematodos de hecho ocurren en el hipódromo. Pero a veces un final inverosímil puede ser un signo de mejora de forma que pueda ser un clave para un bastante grande dividendo.

Image Description

Bob Ehalt

Bob Ehalt has been an avid fan of Thoroughbred racing since that day in June of 1971 when he and his father walked from their Queens Village, N.Y., home to Belmont Park to see Canonero II fall short in his bid for the Triple Crown. A veteran sports writer and correspondent for Thoroughbred Times magazine, Bob has covered horse racing for more than 20 years and has won three awards in the Associated Press Sports Editors national writing contest for his coverage of the sport.

Now working at the New Haven Register in Connecticut, Bob has also owned Thoroughbreds since 1995 and was a member of the syndicate that raced Tale of the Cat. He also writes a racing blog for ESPNNewYork.com and is the co-founder of the New York Hot List handicapping service, which is offered at InterBets.com.

His NTRA.com blog received first-place honors in the 2008-09 Breeders' Cup Media Awards, winning in the initial year of competition in the Social Media category.  You can follow him on Twitter at @BobEhalt

 

Image Description

Bob Ehalt

Bob Ehalt has been an avid fan of Thoroughbred racing since that day in June of 1971 when he and his father walked from their Queens Village, N.Y., home to Belmont Park to see Canonero II fall short in his bid for the Triple Crown. A veteran sports writer and correspondent for Thoroughbred Times magazine, Bob has covered horse racing for more than 20 years and has won three awards in the Associated Press Sports Editors national writing contest for his coverage of the sport.

Now working at the New Haven Register in Connecticut, Bob has also owned Thoroughbreds since 1995 and was a member of the syndicate that raced Tale of the Cat. He also writes a racing blog for ESPNNewYork.com and is the co-founder of the New York Hot List handicapping service, which is offered at InterBets.com.

His NTRA.com blog received first-place honors in the 2008-09 Breeders' Cup Media Awards, winning in the initial year of competition in the Social Media category.  You can follow him on Twitter at @BobEhalt

 

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