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Blog - GAMBLING

Really Mr Greely prevails in the Hollywood Prevue Stakes. (Photo courtesy of Benoit & Accociates)

The 32nd running of the $750,000 CashCall Futurity (G1) at Betfair Hollywood Park consists of a field of 11 two-year-olds, four of those from the loaded barn of Bob Baffert. Leading the Baffert group is Really Mr Greely, coming into the race off back-to-back victories including a front-running in the Hollywood Prevue Stakes (G3) just three weeks ago. North America’s leading trainer by earnings, Todd Pletcher, ships Violence in from New York on the heels of a victory in the Nashua Stakes (G2) last month, while another Baffert runner Carving enters the race off a game win in the Real Quiet Stakes on the track at the distance of the CashCall Futurity. Grey Goose Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) runner-up He’s Had Enough certainly proved he belongs at this level recently, as did Generous Stakes (G3) winner Den’s Legacy, another Baffert trainee. Fury Kapcori, Dirty Swagg and Simon Eyes finished second, third and fourth, respectively, in the Real Quiet and both could improve a notch to have a say in the outcome of this race. Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas ships in Oxbow from Kentucky off a smashing 4 ¾-length maiden win, and considering Violence won the Nashua following his maiden victory, Oxbow has a shot as well as does another last out maiden winner, Little Jerry.

Really Mr Greely was very impressive in breaking his maiden (winning for the first time) by 7 1/2 lengths in his second career start on Nov. 4 with an 88 Equibase Speed Figure. He followed that win with a victory in the Hollywood Prevue Stakes 18 days later, improving to a whopping 107 figure. Although leading from start to finish in the Prevue, Really Mr Greely didn’t really decelerate late as many “early” speed horses do, because his early speed figure was the same 107 as his final number. That excellent combination of speed and pace as well as a very sharp workout (eighth best of 115 five-furlong workouts) coming into the race suggest his last effort was no fluke and can be repeated for another graded stakes victory.

Violence won in his debut gamely by a neck with a 90 speed figure, slightly stronger than Really Mr Greely earned in his maiden win, then improved markedly to a 103 figure when victorious by two lengths in the Nashua Stakes last month. Like Baffert, Pletcher has a bevy of talented 2-year-olds in his barn so he shipped Violence west. Jockey Javier Castellano, who rode the colt to victory in the Nashua, also will travel to Southern California for the CashCall Futurity. With improving to do in only the third start of his career, Violence has every right to run well enough to win the CashCall.

Carving has done little wrong in his four-race career, winning three times, including both the Afflebaugh and Real Quiet Stakes. Improving to a career-best 91 in the Real Quiet, Carving beat three other CashCall Futurity entrants at the distance of this race. It certainly would be no surprise if Carving takes a needed step forward in terms of speed figure to be there at the wire with the other main contenders. 

CARVING

Carving Inside

Photo courtesy of Benoit & Associates

He’s Had Enough probably will be well bet by the public due to his runner-up effort behind Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner and early Kentucky Derby (G1) favorite Shanghai Bobby. Although that was a bang-up effort when beaten by just a head at the finish line, He’s Had Enough only earned an 84 speed figure and that’s not going to be sufficient to threaten many of the contenders in here even if he improves off the race, provided the rest of the field moves forward as young horses often do. 

The rest of the field (with their best representative Equibase Speed Figure): Den’s Legacy (93), Dirty Swagg (89), Fury Kapcori (90), Little Jerry (90), Oxbow (88), Simon Eyes (86) and Title Contender (94).

My Selections:

Really Mr Greely

Violence

Carving 

$750,000 CashCall Futurity (G1)

Betfair Hollywood Park, Saturday, Race 9, Post Time 7:35 PM EST

1 1/16 miles, 2-Year-Olds 

PP

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

1

He's Had Enough (KY)

M Gutierrez

D F O'Neill

2

Den's Legacy (FL)

G K Gomez

B Baffert

3

Dirty Swagg (KY)

T Baze

M K Cho

4

Carving (KY)

M Garcia

B Baffert

5

Fury Kapcori (KY)

J Talamo

J Hollendorfer

6

Violence (KY)

J Castellano

T A Pletcher

7

Simon Eyes (KY)

V Espinoza

W A Ward

8

Really Mr Greely (KY)

M E Smith

B Baffert

9

Title Contender (KY)

R Bejarano

B Baffert

10

Little Jerry (KY)

A T Gryder

R Baltas

11

Oxbow (KY)

C S Nakatani

D W Lukas

All carry 121 pounds.

Image Description

Ellis Starr

National Racing Analyst for Equibase, Fan Education Specialist, Bettor, Magister of Equine Prognostication (Handicapper).

Image Description

Ellis Starr

National Racing Analyst for Equibase, Fan Education Specialist, Bettor, Magister of Equine Prognostication (Handicapper).

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